Opportunities and threats for China in the early 21st century

Karolina Baraniak


It is estimated that if China manages to maintain a growth rate of 7-8% a year, around 2025 will be equal in size to the USA GDP, but per capita income will be 6 times lower than the USA.
A more pessimistic scenario, taking into account a greater range of threats, assumes that China will outpace the USA in terms of GDP in the mid 21st century[1].

[1] E. Haliżak, Zmiana układu sił USA- Chiny a transformacja porządku międzynarodowego, Żurawia Papers Workbook 2, Warszawa 2005, p.74.

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